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Comparisons of HATCH, HAVOC and CHA2DS2-VASc scores for all-cause mortality prediction in atrial fibrillation: a real-world evidence study
  1. Wei Syun Hu1,2,
  2. Cheng Li Lin1
  1. 1School of Medicine, College of Medicine, China Medical University, Taichung, Taiwan
  2. 2Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Department of Medicine, China Medical University Hospital, Taichung, Taiwan
  1. Correspondence to Dr Wei Syun Hu, Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Department of Medicine, China Medical University Hospital, Taichung, Taiwan; weisyunhu{at}gmail.com

Abstract

Objective This study focused on the predictive ability of the 3 scores for all-cause mortality in 6444 patients with atrial fibrillation (AF).

Methods To assess the predictive accuracy of risk of death modelled by HATCH, HAVOC and CHA2DS2-VASc scores, the area under the curve of receiver operating characteristics (AUROC) was applied.

Results Over follow-up time, the cumulative incidence of death was clearly associated with the three scores (log-rank test, p<0.001). The AUROC for the HATCH (0.6618) was significantly higher than HAVOC Score (0.5733) and CHA2DS2-VAScs Score (0.6423).

Conclusions HATCH score has better ability in predicting mortality in comparison to other two scores in patients with AF.

  • adult intensive & critical care
  • cardiology
  • cardiac epidemiology

Data availability statement

Data are available upon reasonable request.

Statistics from Altmetric.com

Data availability statement

Data are available upon reasonable request.

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Footnotes

  • Contributors All authors were involved in the design of the study, collected the data, did statistical analysis, wrote the manuscript and finally approved the manuscript.

  • Funding This study was supported in part by Taiwan Ministry of Health and Welfare Clinical Trial Center (MOHW109-TDU-B-212-114004), China Medical University (CMU110-AWARD-01) and China Medical University Hospital (DMR-HHC-110-4).

  • Competing interests None declared.

  • Provenance and peer review Not commissioned; externally peer reviewed.

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